Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.347894 4.674044 5.025077 5.433147 5.897260 6.412057 7.031011
2025-08-24 3.780619 4.218108 4.719042 5.343045 6.111260 7.042593 8.284260
2025-08-31 3.515498 4.020554 4.623699 5.412802 6.443340 7.783369 9.732730
2025-09-07 3.292395 3.834663 4.502946 5.411007 6.654300 8.368676 11.063332
2025-09-14 3.038340 3.582111 4.266638 5.221423 6.573333 8.519720 11.767421
2025-09-21 2.852982 3.399735 4.101088 5.102684 6.565443 8.759436 12.642932
2025-09-28 2.713091 3.264737 3.984720 5.035831 6.616898 9.085498 13.726777
2025-10-05 2.624190 3.189759 3.941332 5.064441 6.808543 9.655980 15.398294
2025-10-12 2.563955 3.148215 3.938892 5.149082 7.092434 10.422418 17.696922
2025-10-19 2.508267 3.108584 3.934801 5.228220 7.373249 11.229796 20.392821
2025-10-26 2.444141 3.053042 3.903206 5.260333 7.575997 11.925627 23.130787
2025-11-02 2.368080 2.976506 3.835779 5.229169 7.662824 12.405684 25.531895
2025-11-09 2.259313 2.852836 3.698181 5.085154 7.550736 12.494716 26.993290
2025-11-16 2.173927 2.759806 3.602610 5.004808 7.550953 12.838421 29.541890
2025-11-23 2.131477 2.726432 3.594416 5.067560 7.826485 13.864363 35.347229
2025-11-30 2.076913 2.672442 3.550971 5.065947 7.975544 14.630388 41.008465
2025-12-07 1.987161 2.562773 3.415555 4.895233 7.765217 14.446354 42.161605
2025-12-14 1.917563 2.480668 3.319789 4.788117 7.675134 14.564014 45.094750
2025-12-21 1.862841 2.418781 3.253019 4.727741 7.675789 14.929045 49.972158
2025-12-28 1.830149 2.388731 3.235245 4.753585 7.862532 15.867385 60.272593
2026-01-04 1.809815 2.376459 3.245101 4.829991 8.169697 17.266142 78.348941
2026-01-11 1.789385 2.363077 3.252188 4.901359 8.475830 18.786090 105.407869
2026-01-18 1.761761 2.337441 3.237649 4.930300 8.687031 20.078302 140.247998